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Friday 16 August 2024

On Friday, August 16, 2024 by gamblernpunter   No comments

                                                     PUNE HORSE RACING TIPS (15-08-2024)

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                                                                      PUNE RACES (16-08-2024)

 

Race 1: The Oriental Express Plate (1200M)

  • First Choice: Zip Along
    • Recent Performances: Won comfortably over the same trip in her last start, showing good form.
    • Trackwork: Consistent and impressive workouts, particularly the good display on 13/08.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to defy the penalty and win again.
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 1 second, and 0 thirds in 10 runs at this distance.
    • Concerns: Penalized for the last win, and has shown reluctance to be stalled and jumping outwards at the start in past races.
  • Second Choice: Wanderlust
    • Recent Performances: Ignore last run, suggesting it was an anomaly.
    • Trackwork: Consistent workouts, indicating decent current form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to fight every inch of the ground.
    • Winning History: 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third in 4 runs at this distance.
    • Concerns: Past performances have been inconsistent, and the horse had a left eye injury in its last run.
  • Upset: Sorrento Secret
    • Recent Performances: Ran 5th to Black Thunder over 1400 mts, which is a longer distance than this race.
    • Trackwork: Has shown improvement, finishing 2Ls ahead of Mutant on 09/08.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: May go close based on trial performance.
    • Winning History: 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 2 thirds in 5 runs at distances between 1400m and 1800m
    • Concerns: Inconsistent past performances and a recent Colic incident.

Race 2: The Mysore Race Club Trophy (2000M)

  • First Choice: Golden Kingdom
    • Recent Performances: Ignore last run, earlier ran 2nd to Magneto over the same trip.
    • Trackwork: Moving attractively, especially the easy finish on 11/08 alongside Dyf.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to make amends for the last run.
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 2 seconds, and 1 third in 5 runs at this distance
    • Concerns: Drifted out under pressure in the concluding stages of a past race.
  • Upset: Rasputin
    • Recent Performances: Mixed recent performances, but ignore last run
    • Trackwork: Worked well on 13/08
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 4 seconds, and 3 thirds in 13 runs at distances 2000m and above
    • Concerns: Multiple instances of interference in past races.

Race 3: The Panelservice247 Gaming Trophy (1000M)

  • First Choice: Mirae
    • Recent Performances: Ran 2nd to Mojo over the same trip in her last start
    • Trackwork: Consistently moved well in recent workouts
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Should make amends for the last run
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 2 seconds, and 3 thirds in 19 runs at this distance
    • Concerns: Multiple incidents of jumping inwards and interference in past races
  • Second Choice: Reciprocity
    • Recent Performances: Ran 5th to Zip Along over 1200 mts, which is a longer distance than this race
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Should be in the firing line
    • Winning History: 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third in 7 runs at this distance
    • Concerns: Past EIPH (bleeder) incident and an inquiry into running and riding in a past race
  • Upset: Tarzan
    • Recent Performances: Ran close to the pace till distance and gave up over the same trip in his last start
    • Trackwork: Worked freely on 12/07
    • Swimming Report: Consistent swimming workouts indicate good fitness
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Can make them all run
    • Winning History: 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 2 thirds in 7 runs at this distance
    • Concerns: Past EIPH (bleeder) incidents and refusal to be stalled in a past race

Race 4: The Magansingh P. Jodha Trophy Div. I (1400M)

  • First Choice: Bashir
    • Recent Performances: A late-coming 2nd to Turn And Burn over 1000 mts, showing a strong finish
    • Trackwork: Spurting well in trials with the additional 400 meters, suggesting suitability for the distance
    • Swimming Report: Consistent swimming workouts indicate good fitness
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: The one to be beaten
    • Concerns: No prior race experience at this distance
  • Second Choice: Amadeo
    • Recent Performances: Ran 3rd to Thalassa over 1600 mts, indicating capability at longer distances
    • Trackwork: Handy workout on 14/08
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: An each-way chance
    • Concerns: Jockey observed to have used the whip in excess in a past race
  • Upset: Star Impact
    • Recent Performances: Ran 3rd to Windborne over 1000 mts
    • Trackwork: Moved freely on 10/08
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Can make them all run
    • Concerns: Past EIPH (bleeder) incident

Race 5: The Dr. S. R. Captain Trophy (1400M)

  • First Choice: Long Lease
    • Recent Performances: Ignore last run, impressive wins in prior starts
    • Trackwork: Consistent and easy workouts, indicating good form
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Should fight every inch of the ground
    • Winning History: 4 wins, 0 seconds, and 0 thirds in 4 runs at this distance
    • Concerns: Returned lame on the right fore in a past race
  • Second Choice: Miss American Pie
    • Recent Performances: Ran 3rd to Royal Mysore over the same trip
    • Trackwork: Excellent display on 11/08
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Should make amends for the last run
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third in 3 runs at this distance
    • Concerns: Refusal to be stalled in a past race and hanging-in in the straight in another
  • Upset: Its my Time
    • Trackwork: Moved side by side with Zukor on 10/08
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: May upset

Race 6: The Magansingh P. Jodha Trophy Div. II (1400M)

  • First Choice: Wild Child
    • Recent Performances: Ran 2nd to Mothers Grace over 1200 mts
    • Trackwork: Easily finished level with Waikiki on 09/08 despite starting 2Ls behind, moved fluently on 13/08
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: The one to be beaten
    • Concerns: Inclined outwards in the straight in a past race and leaned outwards at the start in another
  • Second Choice: Ghirardelli
    • Recent Performances: Ran 4th to Treat over 1200 mts in his debut start
    • Trackwork: Excelled in trials, easily finishing level with Aperol on 09/08 despite the latter being very easy
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: May upset
    • Concerns: Lack of experience, this being only its second start
  • Upset: La Dolce Vita
    • Recent Performances: Ran 4th to Baklava over the same trip in her debut start
    • Trackwork: Consistent and good workouts, indicating decent form
    • "Pune Hotline

 

Day's Best: Bashir (Race 4)

Upset of the Day: It's My Time (Race 5)

 

On Friday, August 16, 2024 by gamblernpunter   No comments

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Thursday 15 August 2024

On Thursday, August 15, 2024 by gamblernpunter   No comments

                                                      PUNE HORSE RACING TIPS (15-08-2024)

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Race 1: The Just By Chance Plate (1600M)

  • First Choice: Axlrod
    • Recent Trials: Has been moving attractively in the latest trials, indicating good current form. The additional 200 meters in this race compared to recent trials could be advantageous.
    • Past Performances: Ran 5th to ART COLLECTOR in a higher class, suggesting it has the capability to compete at this level.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Explicitly states that Axlrod is "the one to be beaten."
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes that Axlrod had Urticaria on 24/07/2024, which could impact performance if not fully recovered.
  • Second Choice: Malakhi
    • Recent Trials: Has been moving impressively in the latest trials, suggesting it's in good shape.
    • Past Performances: Was unextended 6th to SPANISH EYES in a higher class, indicating potential to improve.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: States that Malakhi "can trouble the best," suggesting it's a strong contender.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes that Malakhi had Tie Forward surgery on 02/10/2022, which could be a long-term concern even if the horse is currently performing well.
  • Upset: Midas Touch
    • "Pune Race Card" Assessment: Listed as a potential upset, suggesting the experts see some hidden potential.
    • Recent Trials: Moved well on 13/08/2024 according to "Pune Track 15/08", indicating decent current form.
    • Concerns: Past performances have been mixed, with some poor finishes. The "Pune Race Card" also notes that Midas Touch had Colic on 02/07/2024, which could be a concern if the horse hasn't fully recovered.

Race 2: The Mayor's Trophy (2000M)

  • First Choice: Seeking Alpha
    • Recent Performances: Ran 2nd to GOLDEN THUNDER over 1800 mts, showing a good finish.
    • Trials: Spurting well in the latest trials, indicating good current speed and form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to win based on its last start and trial performance.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Performance 15/08" file shows a 'dnf' (did not finish) in a past race due to a jump, which could indicate some risk.
  • Second Choice: Doctor Dolly
    • Recent Performances: Ran 3rd to PYRITE in The Forbes Breeders' Juvenile Fillies' Championship, showing competitive spirit.
    • Trials: Excelled in the latest trials, suggesting she's in top form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to be "in the firing line," indicating a likely strong finish.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes that Doctor Dolly had an Intra Articular Injection on 14/06/2024, which could impact performance if not fully healed.
  • Upset: Beyond Stars
    • Change in Status: First run after gelding, which could lead to improved performance.
    • Trials: Moved side by side with Secret To Success on 07/08, indicating decent form.
    • Lack of Recent Race Data: No recent race performance to assess, making it a wildcard.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes that Beyond Stars had an Intra Articular Injection on 23/07/2024, which could be a concern if the horse hasn't fully recovered.

Race 3: The Leto Trophy (1400M)

  • First Choice: In Thy Light
    • Recent Performances: A close 2nd to FIELD OF DREAMS over the same trip, showing competitive spirit.
    • Trials: Moving attractively in the latest trials, suggesting good current form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to "make amends" for the close second in its last start.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Performance 15/08" file shows a 'rd' (riderless) incident in a past race, which could indicate some risk, although it also has a win in Bangalore.
  • Second Choice: Waikiki
    • Trackwork: Has shown good form in recent track work, particularly on 09/08 where it easily finished level with Wild Child despite starting 2Ls behind.
    • "Pune Performance 15/08" file: Shows consistent past performances, often finishing in the top three.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Winning H 15/08" file shows a mixed winning history at this distance, with 1 win, 1 second, and 3 thirds in 6 runs.
  • Upset: Fontana
    • Recent Performances: Ignore last run, suggesting it was an anomaly.
    • Trials: Vastly improved in the latest trials, indicating a potential return to form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to "fight every inch of ground," suggesting a determined performance.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes that Fontana had Tie Forward surgery on 04/10/2023, which could be a long-term concern even if the horse is currently showing improvement in trials.

Race 4: The Pride Group Independence Million (2000M)

  • First Choice: Chagall
    • Track Record: Has a strong track record, including a 3rd place finish in the Vaishnavi Bangalore 2000 Guineas.
    • Trials: Spurting well in the latest trials with the additional 400 meters to travel in this race, suggesting it's well-suited for the distance.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Considered "the one to be beaten," indicating it's the clear favorite.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes that Chagall had Tie Forward surgery on 13/07/2023, which could be a long-term concern even if the horse is currently performing well.
  • Second Choice: Booster Shot
    • Trials: Moving attractively in the latest trials, suggesting good current form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to "fight every inch of ground," indicating a determined performance.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes that Booster Shot had Fever on 10/07/2024 & 12/07/2024 and Laryngeal Abnormality on 18/07/2022, which could raise concerns about its health and performance.
  • Upset: Multiverse
    • Trials: Has shown impressive movement in recent trials, suggesting a potential return to form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: "Ignore last run," suggesting it was an anomaly and the horse has the potential to perform better.
    • Concerns: Past performances have been mixed, with some poor finishes. It's also worth noting that Multiverse was the favorite in one of its poor runs, indicating it might not always live up to expectations.

Race 5: The B. K. Lagad Trophy (1000M)

  • First Choice: Portofino Bay
    • Winning History: Has a good winning history at this distance, suggesting it's well-suited for the race.
    • "Pune Race Card" Assessment: Listed as the "Day's Best," indicating strong confidence in its potential to win.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Race Card" notes several incidents: Colic on 24/06/2024, Respiratory Infection on 27/07/2024, and Tie Forward surgery on 19/12/2023. These raise significant concerns about the horse's health and potential to perform at its best.
  • Second Choice: New Dimension
    • Recent Performances: Won its last start comfortably, indicating good current form.
    • Concerns: Penalized for its recent win, which could make it harder to win again. The "Pune Race Card" also notes that New Dimension had EIPH (bleeder) incidents on 15/10/2023, 11/02/2024 & 24/03/2024, which is a serious concern for its performance and well-being.
  • Upset: Irish Gold
    • Trials: Has shown good speed in trials, indicating it's in good shape.
    • Distance Suitability: The shorter trip in this race could be advantageous, as it has struggled to maintain pace over longer distances in the past.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Performance 15/08"

Race 6: The Star Of The Season Plate

  • First Choice: Running Star. The horse has a strong track record at this distance and has been moving well in trials. The "Pune Hotline" suggests it is the one to beat.
  • Second Choice: Storm Cloud. The horse has won its last start impressively and could be a strong contender.
  • Upset: Fast Approach. The horse has been performing consistently and could surprise the favorites. 
On Thursday, August 15, 2024 by gamblernpunter   No comments

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Wednesday 14 August 2024

On Wednesday, August 14, 2024 by gamblernpunter   No comments

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                                              BANGALORE RACES (14-08-2024)

Race 1: The Littleover Plate (1200M)

• First Choice: True Punch - True Punch has shown good form in recent track work, with a notable 1000m workout in 1.10 (-5) on 11th August. The horse also has a second and third-place finish at 1200M, indicating capability at this distance.

• Second Choice: Cascais - Cascais has steadily improved in track work, with the latest 1200m workout showing positive comments. The horse also has a third-place finish at 1200M.

• Upset: Ananya - Ananya's recent track work has been decent, and the horse has shown potential in mock races. While there's no win record at 1200M, an upset is possible.

Race 2: The Tudor Jet Stakes (1400M)

• First Choice: Storm Shadow - Storm Shadow has a strong record at 1400M with 1 win and 2 third places in 4 runs. The recent track work has been positive, with a good 600m workout on 30th July.

• Second Choice: Breeze Bluster - Breeze Bluster has shown consistent form in track work and has a decent record at 1400M with 1 second and 2 third places in 9 runs.

• Upset: Stravinsky - Stravinsky has been working well recently and has a win and a third-place finish at 1400M. The horse could surprise with a strong performance.

Race 3: The Mamma's Mink Plate (1600M)

• First Choice: Irish Rockstar - Irish Rockstar has shown impressive form in recent track work, with strong 1000m and 600m workouts. The horse also has 2 third-place finishes at 1600M.

• Second Choice: King Of War - King Of War has a good record at 1600M with 1 win and 3 third places in 5 runs. The recent track work has been consistently good.

• Upset: Armory - Armory has a decent record at 1600M with 2 wins and 2 third places in 10 runs. While the recent track work is limited, the horse's past performances suggest potential for an upset.

Race 4: The Dr. K.M. Srinivasa Gowda Memorial Trophy (1200M)

• First Choice: Bourbonaire - Bourbonaire has shown excellent form in recent track work, particularly the 1200m workout on 10th August where the horse impressed. The horse also has 2 wins at 1200M.

• Second Choice: Never Give In - Never Give In has been retaining good form in track work and has 2 wins and 1 second place at 1200M.

• Upset: Light The World - Light The World has shown consistent improvement in track work and has been performing well against Lavish Girl in recent workouts.

Race 5: The Karnataka Sub-Area Cup (1200M)

• First Choice: Czar - Czar has shown good form in recent track work and has a decent record at 1200M with 3 wins and 1 third place in 6 runs.

• Second Choice: Amreli - Amreli has the most wins at 1200M among the contenders, with 3 wins, 2 seconds, and 1 third place in 10 runs. The recent track work has also been positive.

• Upset: Fondness Of You - Fondness Of You has shown promising improvement in recent track work and has 3 wins, 2 seconds, and 1 third place at 1200M.

Race 6: The Mahalakshmi Plate (1600M)

• First Choice: Sand Castles - Sand Castles has a strong record at 1600M with 1 win, 1 second, and 1 third place in 11 runs. The horse has also shown good form in longer distance track work.

• Second Choice: My Visionary - My Visionary has been impressive in recent track work, consistently finishing ahead of Lady Godiva. While the horse has limited experience at 1600M, the current form suggests a strong possibility.

• Upset: Tigerking - Tigerking has shown decent form in recent track work and has a good record at shorter distances. The horse could surprise with a strong finish at 1600M.

Race 7: The Flirting Vision Plate (1200M)

• First Choice: Star Admiral - Star Admiral has been consistently good in track work and has a strong record at 1200M with 1 win, 3 seconds, and 2 third places in 16 runs.

• Second Choice: Capri Girl - Capri Girl has shown good form in recent track work and has a decent record at 1200M with 1 win, 2 seconds, and 2 third places in 15 runs.

• Upset: Ancient History - Ancient History has been working well recently and has shown potential in mock races. While there's no win record at 1200M, an upset is possible.

.

                       Day's Best: Bourbonaire (Race 4)

          Upset of the Day: TIGERKING (Race 6)

 

On Wednesday, August 14, 2024 by gamblernpunter   No comments

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