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Sunday 18 August 2024

On Sunday, August 18, 2024 by gamblernpunter   No comments

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Race 1: The Golden Edition Plate (1400M)

  • First Choice: Nobility

    • Recent Trials: Has shown consistent improvement, unextended in its 1200m trial on 9/08 and urging a bit in its 800m trial on 13/08. This suggests it's in good nick and ready to peak.
    • Past Performances: Ran a close 3rd to HOUSE OF LORDS over 1200 mts in its last start, indicating competitive spirit and potential to improve over the extended 1400m trip.
    • Winning History: Decent record at this distance with a 0/0/1/1 record, suggesting it's comfortable at this trip.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to "make amends" for its close third-place finish in its last start.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of running green and soreness could be a concern if the horse hasn't fully overcome these issues.
  • Second Choice: Goldiva

    • Recent Trials: Excelled in trials, easily finishing ahead of Spanish Eyes on 10/07 and jumping out well on 08/08. This indicates good current form and speed.
    • Past Performances: Ran 5th to GOLDEN THUNDER over 1800 mts in a higher class, suggesting it has the capability to compete at this level, especially with the drop in distance.
    • Winning History: Good record at this distance with a 1/3/1/6 record, showing both winning potential and consistency.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Not explicitly mentioned, but its recent trial performance suggests it's a strong contender.
    • Concerns: Tendency to jump outwards at the start, as noted in the "Pune Incident 17/08" file, could impact its chances if it loses ground early on.
  • Upset: Freedom

    • Recent Trials: Excelled in the latest trials, suggesting it's in good shape and ready to perform.
    • Past Performances: Ran close to the pace till distance and gave up over 1800 mts in his last start, indicating potential for improvement with the drop in distance to 1400m.
    • Winning History: 0/1/0/3 at 1400m, suggesting it has placed at this distance before but is yet to win.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Explicitly states that Freedom "can make them all run," suggesting it's a potential upset.
    • Concerns: Inconsistent past performances and a tendency to ease up in races could be a concern.

Race 2: The Animal Welfare Board Of India Trophy Div. II (1200M)

  • First Choice: Champagne Smile

    • Recent Performances: Won its last start, indicating good current form and confidence.
    • Trackwork: Moving impressively in the latest trials, further reinforcing its good form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to "make amends" for its previous third-place finish, suggesting it's a strong contender.
    • Winning History: 1 win, 2 seconds, and 3 thirds in 12 runs at this distance, showing consistency and potential to win.
    • Concerns: No major concerns noted in the provided information.
  • Second Choice: Flashing Famous

    • Recent Performances: Ran a close 2nd to MALET SPRING over 1000 mts, showing competitive spirit and potential to improve over the slightly longer 1200m trip.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to "trouble the best," suggesting it's a strong contender.
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 1 second, and 0 thirds in 8 runs at this distance, indicating a good strike rate.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of jumping at the start and losing the whip could be a concern if they recur.
  • Upset: Etoile

    • Recent Performances: Ran 2nd to ARIYANA STAR over the same trip in a lower class, suggesting it has the capability to compete at this level.
    • Trackwork: No recent trackwork data available in the provided files.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: "Well placed on scale" and "can make them all run," suggesting it's a potential upset with favorable weight conditions.
    • Winning History: 0 wins, 4 seconds, and 0 thirds in 9 runs at this distance, indicating consistency in placing but yet to win.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of racing on the haunches of another horse and stumbling, as well as receiving a check and dropping back in another race, raise concerns about its racing style and potential for interference.

Race 3: The Truefitt & Hill Trophy (1400M)

  • First Choice: Aperol

    • Recent Performances: Won comfortably over 1200 mts in the 3yrs old maiden class, indicating good form and potential to handle the step up in class and distance.
    • Trackwork: Moved well in recent workouts, particularly the easy 1200m trial on 09/08 where it was held back compared to Ghirardelli.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to "make amends" for its previous second-place finish, suggesting it's a strong contender.
    • Winning History: 1 win and 2 seconds in 4 runs at distances between 1000m and 1200m, showing potential to adapt to the 1400m trip.
    • Concerns: A past gum injury could be a minor concern if it hasn't fully healed.
  • Second Choice: Pure

    • Recent Performances: An eye-catching 2nd to ATTAINED over 1200 mts, showing a strong finish and potential to improve over the extended 1400m trip.
    • Trackwork: Easy workout on 14/08, suggesting it's being kept fresh for the race.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to "not go down without a fight," indicating it's a strong contender.
    • Winning History: 1 win, 0 seconds, and 3 thirds in 15 runs at this distance, showing consistency in placing but a relatively low win rate.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of being denied a clear passage and losing ground at the start could be a concern if they recur.
  • Upset: Goomah

    • Recent Performances: Ran 2nd to RHYTHM OF NATURE over the same trip in the lower class, suggesting it has the capability to compete at this level.
    • Trackwork: Participated in a mock race on 06/08, but the result isn't provided, making it difficult to assess its current form based on trackwork alone.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: "Good in trials" and "may upset," suggesting it has shown promise in workouts and could surprise the favorites.
    • Winning History: 0 wins, 1 second, and 0 thirds in 1 run at this distance, providing limited data to assess its performance at 1400m.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of interference and an inquiry into its running and riding raise concerns about its racing style and potential for trouble. A recent Intra Articular Injection could also impact its performance if it hasn't fully recovered.

Race 4: The Panelservice247 Play & Win Trophy (1000M)

  • First Choice: Trigger

    • Recent Performances: Led till 200m in its last start before fading, indicating good initial speed and potential to improve with a better-paced race.
    • Trackwork: No recent trackwork data available in the provided files.
    • Winning History: 0 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third in 2 runs at this distance, suggesting it has placed at this trip before but is yet to win.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of jumping inwards at the start and fading in the final stages could be concerns.
  • Second Choice: Creative Girl

    • This is the horse's first run, so there's no past performance data to assess.
    • Trackwork: Moving attractively in morning trials, suggesting it's in good shape and has potential.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to "trouble the best," indicating it's considered a strong contender despite its lack of race experience.
    • Concerns: The lack of race experience makes it difficult to predict how it will perform under pressure.
  • Upset: Transatlantic

    • Recent Trials: Speedy and working well, indicating good current form and speed.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to "make them all run," suggesting it has the potential to set a strong pace and potentially cause an upset.

Race 5: The F. D. Wadia Trophy (Grade 3) (1400M)

  • First Choice: Field Of Dreams

    • Recent Performances: Showed dominant form, winning comfortably over the same trip in its last start. This indicates excellent current form and a strong liking for the Pune track.
    • Trackwork: Has been impressive, clocking a fast 1000m on 09/08 and showing good movement in earlier workouts.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: The tipster expects the horse to "make amends," suggesting a strong chance of winning.
    • Winning History: Has a 1/1/1/3 record at this distance, demonstrating its capability to win and place at 1400m.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Incident 17/08" file mentions past incidents of interference and hanging-in in the straight, which could be a concern if the horse doesn't run a clean race.
  • Second Choice: Dash

    • Recent Performances: Ran 3rd to PORTOFINO BAY over 1200 mts, showing a decent finish despite jumping outwards at the start.
    • Trackwork: Has been consistently impressive, easily finishing ahead of Eaton Square and Bubbly Boy in recent workouts. This suggests it's in top form and could handle the step up in distance to 1400m.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: The tipster suggests giving Dash "another chance over this extended trip," indicating potential for improvement at the 1400m distance.
    • Winning History: Has a 1/0/1/2 record at distances between 1200m and 1400m, showing potential but less experience at this specific trip compared to Field Of Dreams.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Incident 17/08" file notes a past incident where the stewards looked into the running and riding of Dash, which could be a minor concern. It also had a joint injection on 18/06/2024, which could impact performance if not fully healed.
  • Upset: Redefined

    • Recent Performances: Ran close to the pace till the distance and gave up in The Poonawalla Breeders' Multi-Million over the same trip, suggesting it might struggle against top-class competition. However, it excelled in recent trials, indicating a potential return to form.
    • Trackwork: Has been working well, showing good movement and responsiveness to urging.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: The tipster believes it "can make them all run," suggesting it has the potential to upset the favorites based on its trial form.
    • Winning History: Has a 1/0/0/2 record at this distance, indicating a win but also a lack of consistent placing.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Incident 17/08" file notes a past incident where the horse bolted on the way to the starting gates, which could indicate some temperament issues. It also received a check in another race, suggesting it might not always handle pressure well.

Race 6: The Animal Welfare Board Of India Trophy Div. I (1200M)

  • First Choice: Supreme Spirit

    • Recent Performances: Ran 2nd to ELOQUENT over 1000 mts, showing a strong finish and potential to improve over the extended 1200m trip.
    • Trackwork: Moving attractively in the latest trials, further reinforcing its good form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to "make amends" for its second-place finish, suggesting it's a strong contender.
    • Winning History: Has a 1/1/1/5 record at this distance, demonstrating its capability to win and place at 1200m.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of jumping inwards at the start and meeting interference could be a concern if they recur.
  • Second Choice: Serrano

    • Recent Performances: Ran 4th to MALET SPRING over 1000 mts, which is a shorter distance than this race. However, it has been moving impressively in trials, suggesting potential for improvement over 1200m.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to "not go down easily," indicating it's a strong contender.
    • Winning History: 1 win, 0 seconds, and 0 thirds in 3 runs at this distance, suggesting a win but also a lack of consistent placing at 1200m.
    • Concerns: A past EIPH (bleeder) incident and hanging out in the straight in another race raise concerns about its respiratory health and racing style.
  • Upset: Attained

    • Recent Performances: Won its last start, indicating good current form and confidence.
    • Trackwork: Has been urged in recent workouts, which could indicate it needs some extra push to perform at its best.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to "upset," suggesting it has a better chance than its current form might indicate.
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 2 seconds, and 3 thirds in 10 runs at this distance, showing consistency and potential to win.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Incident 17/08" file notes multiple past incidents, including losing a shoe, being held up for room, meeting interference, and the jockey using the whip in excess. These raise concerns about the horse's racing style and potential for trouble.

Race 7: The Waves Of Glory Plate (1000M)

  • First Choice: Il Volo

    • Recent Performances: Won comfortably over 1200 mts in his last Bangalore campaign, indicating good form and potential to handle the drop in distance to 1000m.
    • Trackwork: No recent trackwork data available in the provided files.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to win based on its last win and retained form.
    • Winning History: 1 win, 0 seconds, and 0 thirds in 1 run at this distance, providing limited data but showing a win at 1000m.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of being stuck at the starting gates and falling back after leading raise concerns about its consistency and ability to maintain pace throughout the race.
  • Second Choice: Soup And Sandwich

    • Recent Performances: Ran close to the pace till distance and gave up over 1200 mts, suggesting it might struggle to maintain pace over longer distances. However, it has excelled in recent trials with 200 mts less to travel, indicating potential improvement at the shorter 1000m trip.
    • Trackwork: Pleased in its 800m trial on 09/08, suggesting decent current form.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Predicted to "trouble the best," indicating it's a strong contender.
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 1 second, and 1 third in 6 runs at this distance, showing a good strike rate and adaptability to the 1000m trip.
    • Concerns: Past incidents of leading and then fading in the final stages raise concerns about its ability to sustain speed throughout the race. A past distress incident could also be a minor concern if it hasn't fully recovered.
  • Upset: Mutant

    • Recent Performances: Ignore last run, suggesting it was an anomaly. Earlier performances show a mix of good and poor runs.
    • Trackwork: Moving nicely in the latest trials, finishing ahead of Sorrento Secret on 09/08.
    • "Pune Hotline" Assessment: Expected to be "in the firing line," suggesting a likely strong finish.
    • Winning History: 2 wins, 0 seconds, and 1 third in 3 runs at this distance, indicating a good strike rate at 1000m.
    • Concerns: The "Pune Incident 17/08" file notes multiple past incidents, including jumping awkwardly, losing ground at the start, a tardy start, and an injury on both hind fetlocks. These raise significant concerns about the horse's consistency and potential for trouble at the start.

                                       DAYS BEST : FIELD OF DREAMS

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