QATAR GOODWOOD FESTIVAL UK RACES (01-08-2024)

RACE:1

First Choice: Midnight Gun (4/1)

Explanation: Midnight Gun's recent victory in his handicap debut at Newmarket was impressive, and the form of that race has since been boosted by other winners. While switching to a new trainer is a minor concern, the fact that he's handling the 5lb rise in weight well suggests he has more to give. He appears to be the one to beat based on current form and the potential for further improvement.

Second Choice: Into Battle (IRE) (9/1)

Explanation: Into Battle was the beaten favorite at Sandown last time out, but the race didn't go his way as he didn't get a clear run. If he gets a smoother trip this time around, he has a good chance of bouncing back to form

Upset: Palace Green (10/1)

Explanation: Palace Green has shown promise with a win at Kempton and a decent third at York. His run in the Golden Gates at Ascot was also encouraging despite facing some trouble. He might be capable of better than his current odds suggest, making him a potential upset candidate.

RACE:2

First Choice: The Strikin Viking (IRE) (11/8

Explanation: This colt has the strongest form coming into the race, with a second-place finish in the Group 2 Railway Stakes at the Curragh. The switch to a new yard might be a slight question mark, but given the less competitive field here compared to his previous race, he seems primed for a win.

Second Choice: Tropical Storm (5/1)

Explanation: Tropical Storm has consistently shown improvement, culminating in a second-place finish in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot. Although this race is a step up in trip, his form suggests he'll be in the mix again.

Upset: Black Forza (USA) (14/1)

Explanation: Black Forza's recent maiden win at Fairyhouse was impressive, and the runner-up from that race has since won, boosting the form. At 14/1 odds, he offers value as a potential upset if he can carry that form forward to this Group 2 contest.

RACE:3

First Choice: Bellum Justum (IRE) (5/1)

• Explanation: Bellum Justum has shown consistent improvement, most recently finishing a close third in the Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot. He seems to appreciate the step up in trip to 1m3f, and if he continues his progress, he has a strong chance of winning this race.

Second Choice: Jan Brueghel (IRE) (Evens)

• Explanation: Jan Brueghel is an unbeaten Galileo colt with two impressive wins under his belt, including a Group 3 victory. Although he carries a 3lb penalty, his potential and the prestige of his bloodline make him a serious contender.

Upset: Align The Stars (IRE) (16/1)

• Explanation: Align The Stars has been on an upward trajectory, winning his last two handicap races. While this is a big step up in class, his improving form and the potential for further progress make him an interesting longshot. If he can handle the tougher competition, he could surprise at a good price.

RACE:4

First Choice: Opera Singer (USA): Her strong form and potential for improvement with the added distance make her the top pick.

Second Choice: Elmalka: Another filly who could benefit from the extra distance and has shown Group 1 potential.

Upset: Stay Alert: If she can handle the good to firm ground, her Dahlia Stakes win suggests she has the ability to cause an upset

RACE:5

First Choice: Brighton Boy (IRE) (20)

• Explanation: Brighton Boy showed promising form in his last race, winning at Chester despite a wide draw. He displayed good traveling and a strong finish, suggesting he has potential beyond his current mark. While the wide draw again is a slight concern, he could be underestimated and deliver a good performance.

Second Choice: El Burhan (IRE) (26)

• Explanation: El Burhan has won his last two races, including one where he defied a penalty. This indicates he has the ability to handle higher-rated competition and could be aiming for bigger targets beyond handicaps. He's a serious player in this field.

Upset: Fearless Freddy (47)

• Explanation: Fearless Freddy has been steadily improving with each run, culminating in a maiden win at Leicester. The step up in trip to 7 furlongs seems to suit him, and his connections have likely targeted this race. Starting from a good draw, he has the potential to upset the favorites at more attractive odds.

RACE:6

First Choice: Kendall Roy (6)

Explanation: Kendall Roy is the current favorite and has been in excellent form this season, winning four races. He's proven his ability to win and should handle the penalty well.

Second Choice: Mc Loven (13)

Explanation: Mc Loven showed improved form in his recent win at Lingfield. While facing a tougher challenge here, his career-best performance indicates he could be competitive at this level.

Upset: We Never Stop (IRE) (10)

Explanation: We Never Stop benefited from cheekpieces and the drop to 5 furlongs when winning at Redcar. This is a tougher test, but he's unexposed at this trip and could surprise at a good price.

Race 7

First Choice: Dreamy (IRE)

Explanation: Dreamy, with her strong pedigree and being trained by Aidan O'Brien, is expected to perform well in her debut.

Second Choice: Bouvier (IRE)

Explanation: Bouvier showed promise on debut despite running greenly. With that experience, she could improve significantly and challenge for the win.

Upset: Arabian Leopard

Explanation: Arabian Leopard also has a noteworthy pedigree and could be one to watch on debut. If she shows potential in the betting market, she could be a surprise contender.

Race 8: 

First Choice: Treasure Time (19)

Explanation: Treasure Time has been consistent recently, with two wins and a second place in his last three starts. He's proven over the distance and seems to be improving, making him the top pick

Second Choice: Bill's Barr (IRE) (17)

Explanation: Bill's Barr has won well in his last two starts, showing potential beyond handicaps. While this is a step up in class, he's lightly raced and could continue to improve.

Upset: Native King (2)

Explanation: Native King won a handicap at Newmarket and has been consistent recently. He could offer value at a slightly longer price and has the potential to run well if he handles the competition.

Best Bet of the Day  

Race 4: Opera Singer 

 Upset of the Day

   Race 8: NATIVE KING 

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